Rachel Reeves, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, has indicated a strong inclination to remove the two-child limit on working-age benefits in the forthcoming Budget, marking a significant policy shift aimed at reducing child poverty. Speaking on BBC Radio 5 Live, Reeves asserted that it was unfair for children to be "penalised" for being in larger families through no fault of their own and confirmed her commitment to taking action on child poverty, harking back to Labour’s previous government achievements in this area.

The two-child benefit cap, introduced by the Conservative government in 2017, restricts welfare benefits payments for families on Universal Credit or Child Tax Credit to the first two children born after April 2017. The policy excludes Child Benefit payments, which remain payable regardless of family size for those earning under £80,000. According to the Resolution Foundation think tank, abolishing the cap altogether could cost around £3.5 billion annually but is projected to lift approximately 470,000 children out of poverty, making it one of the most effective measures to tackle child deprivation in the UK.

Reports from various sources, including The Guardian and The Independent, reveal internal discussions within the Treasury about potential alternatives, such as implementing a tapered benefits approach by reducing payments for children beyond the first, or limiting additional support to families with three or four children. However, the Resolution Foundation has issued a cautionary note against such half-measures, warning that partial reforms, such as raising the cap to three children, would not prevent child poverty from rising and would leave many children still facing deprivation. The think tank emphasizes that fully scrapping the cap remains the fastest and most cost-effective way to reduce child poverty rates significantly by 2029-30.

Large families stand to benefit notably if the policy is rescinded, with some households potentially receiving up to £20,000 a year in extra support. Official figures indicate that over 71,000 large families on Universal Credit would be eligible for increased payments, with a family of five potentially gaining more than £10,000 annually and even higher sums for those with more children. Labour MPs and campaigners have described the cap as "deeply unfair," arguing that it disproportionately impacts children living in poverty.

While Reeves has conveyed her intentions to ease or remove the cap, the financial implications pose a challenge, particularly in light of the sizeable budget deficit estimated at £40 billion. The Labour government, elected in July 2024 on promises to raise living standards without increasing income tax rates, VAT, or National Insurance contributions, faces a delicate balancing act. Reeves herself acknowledged that adhering strictly to manifesto pledges without raising revenue would require deep cuts in capital spending, something the government seems reluctant to pursue.

In addition to addressing child poverty, Reeves is considering broader fiscal measures to fund social priorities, such as reforms to the way environmental and social care levies are charged. Plans under review include shifting approximately £3.5 billion of charges currently embedded in electricity bills into general taxation, targeting higher earners to bear the cost. This redistribution aims to lower energy costs for the poorest households, allowing those on lower incomes to save around £110 per year while increasing the tax burden on wealthier quarters of the population.

Overall, Reeves's emerging approach reflects a willingness to reshape welfare and tax policies to combat inequality and support vulnerable families. While the precise details of the two-child cap removal remain under scrutiny, the Chancellor's firm statement against penalising children due to family size signals a clear policy direction. Political pressure within Labour, from campaign groups, and partly from Reform UK, supports the call for scrapping the cap, although Conservatives maintain that removing it is economically unsound. The forthcoming Budget will therefore be closely watched for how it balances social justice commitments with fiscal responsibility.

📌 Reference Map:

  • [1] (BBC News) - Paragraphs 1, 2, 3, 6, 7
  • [2] (Reuters) - Paragraphs 2, 3, 5
  • [3] (The Independent) - Paragraphs 3, 4
  • [4] (The Free Library) - Paragraph 4
  • [5] (GB News) - Paragraph 7
  • [6] (Upday) - Paragraph 1

Source: Noah Wire Services