Europe’s largest street festival is at risk of collapse after organisers warn of critical safety issues due to insufficient funding and police resources, with government support noticeably absent amid fears of a potential mass casualty event.
The future of the Notting Hill Carnival, Europe's largest street festival, is hanging in the balance amid severe funding shortages that threaten public safety and the event’s very existence. The carnival’s organisers have issued a stark warning—leaked correspondence to the Culture Secretary highlights that without urgent financial backing, the safety of attendees and the continuation of the event could be imperiled. Yet, despite clear risks, the government remains absent in providing necessary support, leaving organisers to scramble for resources that are increasingly inadequate for the scale of the crowds they face.
This crisis stems from an independent safety review commissioned by the organisers and supported financially by local authorities and the Greater London Authority (GLA). The review exposes “critical public safety concerns,” chiefly around crowd management and the capacity of overwhelmed police services to respond effectively. With attendance swelling to approximately two million people over the August Bank Holiday weekend, the Metropolitan Police’s limited resources are strained to breaking point. The authorities continue to rely heavily on handouts from local councils and the GLA—funds that simply do not match the growing operational needs of organizing such a massive event.
Policing the carnival has become an increasingly futile attempt. In 2024, around 7,000 officers were deployed—covering 14,000 shifts—yet these efforts are nowhere near enough. Senior police officials have warned that the dangerous densities of crowds could lead to a “mass casualty event,” echoing fears that dangerously loose crowd control could result in another tragedy on similar scales to Hillsborough. Metropolitan Police leadership has criticised the organisers’ handling, claiming the event is “poorly managed” and stressing that crowd control should not rest solely on police shoulders. Instead, they argue that the organisers must take responsibility for effective stewarding and safety management.
Within the London Assembly’s Police and Crime Committee, concerns are equally stark. Their April 2025 report describes crowding and stewarding failures that create “substantial safety risks.” The committee called for an independent review to identify specific vulnerabilities on the parade route and for increased government funding to match the rising pressures on policing. Committee chair Susan Hall warned that without proper support, the police will be unable to protect attendees during what should be a festive occasion but has become a safety nightmare.
Despite an additional £300,000 funding boost from the GLA in 2024, the shortfall remains glaring. The funds, intended to improve crowd control and stewarding, are woefully insufficient, leaving police officers under immense stress—as illustrated by recent surveys revealing 89% felt unsafe working at the event, with a third having been assaulted. Officers report feeling “powerless” in managing the scale of the crowds, pointing to a systemic failure that places public safety at grave risk. The organisers’ plea for direct government funding—potentially unprecedented—raises serious questions about political will and the priorities of a government that seems unwilling to take responsibility for safeguarding Britain’s most iconic cultural celebrations.
This ongoing neglect signals a troubling trend: a government that refuses to fully support vital public events when their safety infrastructure is most compromised. Without immediate, well-resourced action, the Notting Hill Carnival risks becoming a relic of neglect, overshadowed by safety failures and the tragic consequences that follow from a lack of leadership. It is high time policymakers recognised that true support and proper funding are essential to preserve the safety, tradition, and cultural significance of this beloved event.
Source: Noah Wire Services
Noah Fact Check Pro
The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first
emerged. We’ve since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed
below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may
warrant further investigation.
Freshness check
Score:
8
Notes:
The narrative presents recent developments regarding funding shortages and safety concerns for the Notting Hill Carnival. The earliest known publication date of similar content is April 2025, with the London Assembly Police and Crime Committee calling for a review of crowd density and safety at the event. ([london.gov.uk](https://www.london.gov.uk/who-we-are/what-london-assembly-does/london-assembly-press-releases/review-notting-hill-carnival-crowd-numbers-mass-casualty-event-occurs?utm_source=openai)) The report appears to be based on a press release, which typically warrants a high freshness score. However, the narrative includes updated data but recycles older material, which may justify a higher freshness score but should still be flagged. Additionally, the narrative mentions a £300,000 funding boost from the Greater London Authority (GLA) in 2024, which aligns with the GLA's funding decisions for the Notting Hill Carnival in 2024. ([london.gov.uk](https://www.london.gov.uk/md3267-notting-hill-carnival-2024-additional-support?utm_source=openai))
Quotes check
Score:
7
Notes:
The narrative includes direct quotes attributed to senior police officials and committee members. A search reveals that similar quotes have appeared in earlier material, indicating potential reuse. For instance, Assistant Commissioner Matt Twist's concerns about crowd density were reported in April 2025. ([the-independent.com](https://www.the-independent.com/news/uk/home-news/notting-hill-carnival-risk-crowd-control-b2737221.html?utm_source=openai)) The wording of the quotes varies slightly, but the core messages remain consistent. No online matches were found for some of the quotes, suggesting they may be original or exclusive content.
Source reliability
Score:
9
Notes:
The narrative originates from a reputable organisation, the BBC, which is known for its journalistic standards. This is a strength, as it suggests the information is likely accurate and trustworthy.
Plausability check
Score:
8
Notes:
The claims regarding funding shortages and safety concerns at the Notting Hill Carnival are plausible and align with known issues. The London Assembly Police and Crime Committee has previously raised concerns about crowd density and safety at the event. ([london.gov.uk](https://www.london.gov.uk/who-we-are/what-london-assembly-does/london-assembly-press-releases/review-notting-hill-carnival-crowd-numbers-mass-casualty-event-occurs?utm_source=openai)) The narrative lacks specific factual anchors, such as names, institutions, and dates, which reduces the score and flags it as potentially synthetic. The language and tone are consistent with typical reporting on such issues, and the structure does not include excessive or off-topic detail.
Overall assessment
Verdict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): OPEN
Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): MEDIUM
Summary:
The narrative presents recent developments regarding funding shortages and safety concerns for the Notting Hill Carnival. While the source is reputable, the content includes updated data but recycles older material, which may justify a higher freshness score but should still be flagged. Some quotes appear to be reused from earlier reports, and the lack of specific factual anchors reduces the overall confidence in the narrative's originality. Therefore, the overall assessment is 'OPEN' with a medium confidence level.