Official June 2025 figures show UK average prices up 3.7% year on year, with the North East recording a 7.8% surge while London posts just 0.8% growth; higher supply, new mortgage affordability rules and regional affordability are reshaping momentum.
The latest official data depict a housing market that remains in motion, with regional dynamics continuing to diverge despite an overall uplift in values. June 2025’s figures show the UK’s average house price hovering near £269,000, marking a 3.7% year-on-year rise and a 1.4% month-on-month lift. The North East stands out again, recording the strongest annual growth at 7.8% and lifting the regional average to about £164,000, while the capital remains comparatively restrained, with London prices up roughly 0.8% year on year. The magnitude of the North East’s performance sits in stark contrast to London’s modest pace, a pattern that has persisted through much of 2025. The Daily Mail highlighted these ONS figures by noting that the typical home has risen by around £9,000 over the past year. Reuters, drawing on the same data, emphasised the clear regional split and the ongoing shift in market momentum as a backdrop to policy developments and lender activity. The figures are based on completed sale prices, so movements reflect deals agreed in the months prior to June.
Looking ahead, market mood remains mixed even as prices broadly trend higher. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors last week reported a softer near-term picture, with more surveyors noting price declines in their areas than increases in July, even as expectations for the next 12 months skew higher. The market’s narrative is sharpened by trading activity and stock levels: Zoopla’s index for June 2025 points to stronger buyer choice, underpinned by a 14% rise in homes for sale, while price growth continues to be more pronounced in more affordable regions and slower in pricier areas such as London and the South East. In commentary accompanying the data, Jonathan Hopper, chief executive of Garrington Property Finders, told the Daily Mail that the dizzying pace of growth in northern England contrasts with London’s more modest trajectory, and that a surplus of homes on the market has left buyers with “confidence and clout to negotiate hard on price.” The market is also being framed against policy shifts; The Guardian reported in late July that new mortgage affordability rules in 2025 have helped keep activity buoyant and prevented a traditional summer lull, with lenders’ more relaxed checks allowing buyers to borrow more.
Beyond headline numbers, the housing picture remains regionally nuanced. The North East’s strength is underpinned by affordability dynamics, with prices rising loudly while other regions show more tepid growth. The South East and South West continue to hover around more modest annual gains, reflecting both supply characteristics and demand patterns. The broader picture is complicated by ongoing revisions and methodological cautions: the ONS’s Private Rent and House Prices bulletin notes that UK rents have climbed 7.0% year on year to May 2025, while UK house prices were up about 3.5% year on year to April 2025. The bulletin also cautions that NI data are included and that revisions to provisional estimates are possible, underscoring the need to monitor the trajectory as more complete figures become available. Within the North East, local data show Newcastle’s housing market continuing to outperform in price terms even as rents track higher, with May 2025 Newcastle average prices around £209,000—representing a pronounced annual rise—while rents in the region remain notably elevated relative to the national average.
As the market digests a summer of policy and affordability developments, buyers and sellers alike are weighing a landscape in which capital cities show resilience but non‑metropolitan regions drive the momentum. With rates cutting through early 2025 and stamp-duty considerations influencing activity, the coming months could see continued regional variance, a broad base of demand tempered by increased supply, and ongoing revisions to the official readings as new data become available. In this context, agents and buyers are urged to move decisively when a well-priced opportunity appears, while remaining mindful of the possibility that price dynamics could rebound more quickly than anticipated in particular markets.
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Source: Noah Wire Services
Noah Fact Check Pro
The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first
emerged. We’ve since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed
below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may
warrant further investigation.
Freshness check
Score:
9
Notes:
✅ The core dataset is official: HM Land Registry / GOV.UK press release 'UK House Price Index for June 2025' published 20 August 2025 and ONS bulletins (ONS HPI updates) the same day. 🕰️ Earliest authoritative publication of the June HPI figures is 20 Aug 2025 (GOV.UK). Reuters, FT and other reputable outlets reported the same data on 20 Aug 2025. ⚠️ There are earlier ONS/Zoopla provisional releases covering earlier months (June bulletin on 18 Jun 2025 and Zoopla index 30 Jun 2025) but these cover different vintages (e.g. rents to May, HPI provisional to April/May) and do not contradict the June HPI published 20 Aug 2025. ‼️ No evidence the narrative is recycled from material older than 7 days before 20 Aug 2025 — the story is fresh and tied to the official 20 Aug release.
Quotes check
Score:
7
Notes:
⚠️ The direct quote attributed to Jonathan Hopper (Garrington) appears to be present in the Daily Mail piece and I found no exact-match identical phrasing in other published outlets when searching the web, suggesting the phrasing may be original or exclusive to that interview. ✅ However, Jonathan Hopper has frequently provided similar commentary in many outlets in the past (consistent theme: buyers gaining negotiating power), so the sentiment is plausible. 🕵️ Recommendation: verify the quote with Garrington (or the Daily Mail transcript) if exact wording is material — single-outlet attribution reduces independent verifiability.
Source reliability
Score:
9
Notes:
✅ Strength: the narrative is grounded in authoritative official publications — HM Land Registry / GOV.UK HPI (published 20 Aug 2025) and ONS statistical bulletins (e.g. local area HPI pages and PIPR). ([gov.uk](https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-house-price-index-for-june-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [ons.gov.uk](https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/privaterentandhousepricesuk/june2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ⚠️ Caveat: the Daily Mail is a tabloid with well-known editorial biases; where the Daily Mail references official HPI/ONS data it is reporting reliable statistics, but editorial framing and selective emphasis should be treated with caution. ✅ Additional reputable corroboration from Reuters, Zoopla and The Guardian confirms the main claims and regional splits. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-house-prices-rise-37-year-on-year-june-2025-08-20/), [zoopla.co.uk](https://www.zoopla.co.uk/discover/property-news/house-price-index-june-2025/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [theguardian.com](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/jul/29/new-mortgage-affordability-rules-help-uk-housing-market-avoid-summer-lull))
Plausability check
Score:
9
Notes:
✅ Plausible and verified: headline figures match official data — UK average ~£269,000 and 3.7% year-on-year to June 2025; North East annual growth 7.8%; London ~0.8% — all reported in the GOV.UK / HPI release (20 Aug 2025). 🕵️ Local claim checked: Newcastle average ≈ £209,000 in May 2025 is confirmed on ONS local housing page. ([gov.uk](https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-house-price-index-for-june-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [ons.gov.uk](https://www.ons.gov.uk/visualisations/housingpriceslocal/E08000021/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ⚠️ Methodological caveats apply: HPI is based on completed transactions (lagged), provisional months are subject to revision and ONS has noted methodological changes that can alter revisions — the narrative itself mentions this. If the piece uses a single month as proof of a long-term trend, flag that as premature; otherwise the regional divergence is well supported by multiple reputable datasets (ONS, Zoopla).
Overall assessment
Verdict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): PASS
Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): HIGH
Summary:
✅ PASS — HIGH confidence. The report's central claims (UK average house price ~£269,000; 3.7% year‑on‑year to June 2025; North East strongest at ~7.8%; London ~0.8%) are directly supported by the official HM Land Registry / GOV.UK HPI published 20 August 2025 and corroborated by ONS local data, Reuters reporting and industry indices (Zoopla). 🕰️ Freshness: the narrative is current and tied to the official 20 Aug 2025 release (not recycled older material). ⚠️ Main risks: (1) the Daily Mail's quoted commentary (Jonathan Hopper) appears to be unique to that outlet — exact wording not found elsewhere, so verify if the precise phrasing matters; (2) tabloid framing may emphasise dramatic contrasts even though the underlying data are accurate; (3) HPI figures are provisional for recent months and ONS has highlighted revision risks and methodological updates, so monitor future revisions. ‼️ Overall: data-based claims check out; treat single-outlet quotes and editorial tone with routine caution.