Artificial intelligence is increasingly being treated not just as a growth theme, but as a possible source of instability for markets. In a column published by The Motley Fool, Edward Sheldon argued that the next major downturn could be driven by two AI-related pressures: a sharp reversal in richly valued technology shares, and a wider economic hit if automation begins to erode employment at scale.

That concern is not occurring in a vacuum. Research in Scientific Reports suggests algorithmic trading can alter market behaviour in ways that affect volatility, even if it sometimes dampens swings overall. Separately, commentary on the state of AI investing has been turning more cautious, with the OECD warning that enthusiasm around AI-linked spending could leave equity markets vulnerable to a correction if expectations become detached from reality.

Some analysts think the danger is bigger than a normal sector rotation. Economist Torsten Sløk has argued that the current AI boom may be more dangerous than the dot-com era because valuations in leading names appear stretched relative to earnings potential, while the scale of capital being poured into the theme is much larger than many investors appreciate. Other market observers have also said AI is shifting from being a stock-market tailwind to a fresh source of volatility as investors reassess prices across technology and related industries.

The labour-market risk is, if anything, more unsettling. Sheldon pointed to recent lay-offs at major technology groups as a warning sign that efficiency gains could start to hit white-collar employment. If AI adoption were to contribute to unemployment running far above current levels, the logic goes, consumer spending and corporate profits would both come under pressure, making it difficult for share prices to stay elevated.

Despite that bleak possibility, Sheldon is not abandoning equities. Instead, he says he is trimming risk, leaning more heavily into defensive sectors and keeping a list of companies he would be happy to buy if markets sell off. One of those names is Rolls-Royce, which he believes could benefit over the longer term from rising defence budgets and the emerging small modular reactor market, even if near-term airline weakness weighs on servicing income.

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Source: Noah Wire Services