Scotiabank upgrades its FY2026 earnings forecast for CGI Group following robust second-quarter performance, amid mixed broker sentiment and steady dividend payments.
Scotiabank has nudged its outlook for CGI Group higher after the technology consultancy delivered a solid second quarter, with the bank lifting its FY2026 earnings forecast to $6.58 a share from $6.50. The revised estimate, published in a note on Friday, sits just above the current market consensus of $6.54 a share, although Scotiabank kept its "Sector Perform" rating on the stock.
The upgrade came after CGI reported quarterly results on 29 April that showed revenue of $4.16 billion, up 3.3% from a year earlier, while diluted earnings per share rose 10.6% to $2.09. The company also said earnings before income taxes increased 6.0% to $617.7 million and adjusted EBIT climbed to $691.6 million, with operating cash flow of $451.1 million and backlog of $31.5 billion at the end of March.
The latest quarter helped reinforce the picture of a business still generating healthy cash and preserving margins even as growth remains measured. TechMarketView said the UK and Australia division was a standout, with revenue up 19.3% year on year to CAN$569.1 million, supported by demand in government, utilities and financial services and helped by BJSS. The same analysis pointed to a 16.2% adjusted EBIT margin for the segment, an improvement from 14.5% a year earlier.
Broker sentiment remains mixed. According to MarketBeat’s compilation, TD Securities upgraded CGI to a strong-buy rating in January, while Weiss Ratings moved the stock to sell in March. Royal Bank of Canada cut its view to sector perform this week and UBS lowered its target price, leaving the shares with an average hold rating and a consensus target of $83.67. CGI also recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.17 a share, payable on 19 June, underscoring a modest but steady capital return policy.
Source Reference Map
Inspired by headline at: [1]
Sources by paragraph:
Source: Noah Wire Services
Noah Fact Check Pro
The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first
emerged. We’ve since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed
below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may
warrant further investigation.
Freshness check
Score:
8
Notes:
The article references Scotiabank's recent adjustment of CGI Group's FY2026 earnings forecast, published on May 4, 2026. The earliest known publication date of similar content is April 29, 2026, when CGI Group reported its Q2 FY2026 results. ([cgi.com](https://www.cgi.com/en/cgi-reports-second-quarter-f2026-results?utm_source=openai)) The narrative appears to be original, with no evidence of recycling or republishing across low-quality sites. However, the reliance on a press release from CGI Group warrants a moderate freshness score due to potential biases in self-reported data.
Quotes check
Score:
7
Notes:
The article includes direct quotes from CGI Group's press release dated April 29, 2026. ([cgi.com](https://www.cgi.com/en/cgi-reports-second-quarter-f2026-results?utm_source=openai)) These quotes are consistent with the original source, indicating accurate reporting. However, the absence of independent verification of these quotes raises concerns about their authenticity.
Source reliability
Score:
6
Notes:
The primary source of the article is MarketBeat, a financial news aggregator. While MarketBeat compiles information from various reputable sources, its own editorial standards and independence are not well-documented, which may affect the reliability of the information presented. The article also references CGI Group's official press release, which, while authoritative, may present a biased perspective.
Plausibility check
Score:
7
Notes:
The claims regarding Scotiabank's adjustment of CGI Group's earnings forecast and the reported financial results are plausible and align with the information available from CGI Group's official press release. ([cgi.com](https://www.cgi.com/en/cgi-reports-second-quarter-f2026-results?utm_source=openai)) However, the lack of independent verification of these claims raises concerns about their accuracy.
Overall assessment
Verdict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): FAIL
Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): MEDIUM
Summary:
The article presents plausible information regarding Scotiabank's adjustment of CGI Group's earnings forecast and the company's financial performance. However, the heavy reliance on CGI Group's own press release without independent verification raises concerns about the accuracy and objectivity of the content. The source's reliability is also questionable due to the lack of transparency regarding MarketBeat's editorial standards. Given these issues, the content does not meet the necessary standards for publication under our editorial indemnity.